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The St. Louis Blues live to fight another day, and that day is today. Having survived one potential elimination game, they now face another tonight and hope to have a third on Sunday evening. There was very little between the two teams in Game 5 in Colorado, with the Avs shading the shot count and xG metrics. The Blues will have home advantage tonight, as they look to force the most unlikely of Game 7s.
Despite being outshot at a ratio of 3:4 and having lost their in-form goaltender Jordan Binnington to injury in Game 3, the Blues continue to hang in there. Historically, teams who have reached Game 6 via the same path as the Blues (LWLLW without home advantage) are 14-11 in that game. While the Avs are still rightly the cup favourites, the Blues are a value bet here to force that decider and make their opponents sweat for one more night in Denver.
Justin Verlander is continuing to defy father time in his age-39 season. After missing all of 2021 and most of 2020 after Tommy John surgery there were fair questions as to whether he could be the same star at his age and after such a gap. Well, he currently leads the league in ERA (1.22), WHIP (0.716) and hits allowed per nine innings pitched (4.9).
His record this season is 6-1 and he’s allowed over 1.5 earned runs in just two of eight starts. It seems fair to question whether his body will hold up into the autumn for a World Series tilt, but for now expect him to keep rolling along with another star turn.
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