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The Edmonton Oilers stand on the brink of the Western Conference finals, after blowing away the Calgary Flames for three successive games. Game 5 takes the series back to Calgary, with the home team and fans knowing that there is no more room to slip up. The Flames, understandably, are the bookies pick for tonight, with the odds implying that they have a 60 per cent chance of winning.
This implied advantage seems to tie in nicely with the history books, which show that teams in Edmonton’s situation are 29-49 in Game 5. With that in mind, it might be worth anticipating a Calgary surge tonight, perhaps stifling some of the offensive abilities of Connor McDavid. Edmonton’s number 97 has “only” managed to exceed four shots on goal in four of his last 18 games, indicating that the value here, once again, is in backing the under.
The Dallas Mavericks were once again grateful to Luka Doncic for putting on another superb performance to keep this Western Conference finals series alive. Doncic delivered on our pick of over 52.5 PTS/REB/AST combined which included 30 points in the 119-109 Game 4 win to take the series back to San Francisco where the Warriors are 8-0 in the playoffs.
Stephy Curry hasn’t had to be at his very best in this series for Golden State, but on his day, he can pull out a monster performance, especially from beyond the arc. Curry has landed 58 three-pointers in the postseason already and back on home court, he will be looking to add to that impressive total.
We’re backing the Warriors to remain unbeaten by the bay and book their place in the NBA Finals and from a player point of view, we expect Doncic to score 30 points or more for the fourth time in this series and for Curry to make four or more three-pointers.
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