Premier League Relegation Odds 2022/23

Charlie Mullan
By Charlie Mullan
 |  3 mins
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Premier League Relegation Odds 2022/23

At the end of every Premier League season, three teams are relegated to the Championship. At the beginning of the campaign, the best soccer betting sites will create a Premier League Relegation betting market where customers can wager on the team(s) that they think will finish in the drop zone and there’s always lots of interest.

After all, three teams will be settled as a ‘winner’ on this market which gives bettors the chance to win by betting on more than one selection. As you might expect, it’s generally the teams who have recently been promoted that start as the favorites although the market tends to be a wide open one with lots of runners and riders. 

Here are the latest Premier League relegation betting odds:

Premier League Relegation Odds
Friday 12th August 2022
% Chance
AFC Bournemouth 61.92% 8/13 1.62 -163
Nottingham Forest 50.00% 1/1 2.00 +100
Southampton FC 33.33% 2/1 3.00 +200
Fulham FC 33.33% 2/1 3.00 +200
Everton FC 28.57% 5/2 3.50 +250
Brentford FC 26.67% 11/4 3.75 +275
Wolverhampton Wanderers 26.67% 11/4 3.75 +275
Leeds United 26.67% 11/4 3.75 +275
Crystal Palace 16.67% 5/1 6.00 +500
Leicester City 11.11% 8/1 9.00 +800
Aston Villa 10.00% 9/1 10.00 +900
Brighton & Hove Albion 6.67% 14/1 15.00 +1400
West Ham United 4.76% 20/1 21.00 +2000
Newcastle United 2.44% 40/1 41.00 +4000
Manchester United 0.66% 150/1 151.00 +15000
Arsenal FC 0.10% 1000/1 1001.00 +100000
Tottenham Hotspur 0.07% 1500/1 1501.00 +150000
Liverpool FC 0.04% 2500/1 2501.00 +250000
Chelsea FC 0.04% 2500/1 2501.00 +250000
Manchester City 0.02% 4500/1 4501.00 +450000
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Promoted Teams Among Betting Favorites for Relegation

In the build-up to the 2022-23 Premier League season, there was just one team trading at odds-on to be relegated. Bournemouth don’t seem to be ready for the new campaign and could potentially be the division’s whipping boys according to the prices, although the transfer window remains open for business.

Fellow new boys Nottingham Forest and Fulham are given more of a puncher’s chance by betting sites and they will be looking to scramble past some of the other teams struggling to stay afloat in the division. Leeds United and Everton were two teams who flirted with danger last time out, so bigger names certainly can get dragged into it.

Southampton generally do enough to stay afloat but they were trading at a short price pre-season, with Wolverhampton Wanderers also regarded as vulnerable, while Brentford and Brighton both have the capacity to get sucked into trouble. Crystal Palace were among the relegation favorites last season but they are trading at much bigger odds this time around.

EPL Relegation Market Betting Trends

Of the past 10 seasons, the 2016-17 campaign was the only one where all three promoted teams avoided relegation. Things have been particularly difficult in recent years, with Watford and Norwich City finishing 19th and 20th respectively, even if Brentford were able to finish as high as 13th.

Fulham and West Brom suffered the same fate 12 months previously, with Norwich City rock bottom of the final 2018-19 standings, while Cardiff and Fulham weren’t good enough to stay up in 2017-18. However, at least one promoted side has stayed up in the past 10 years. Check out the leading Premier League betting sites to see who they think might stay up this time around. 

There used to be talk about teams reaching the “magic 40-point mark” although the 2021-22 season saw five teams fall short of that target. The strength of the leading clubs in the Premier League means that points are harder to come by and bottom clubs Norwich and Watford were only able to muster 22 and 23 points respectively.

The 2020/21 campaign saw Fulham, West Brom and Sheffield United finish well adrift of the teams above them, while Bournemouth and Watford both went down with 34 points the season before and it’s more likely that we’ll start referring to the “magic 35 point mark” in future seasons.

How to Back Winners on Premier League Relegation Betting

It’s always worth looking at the Premier League lineups pages in order to understand the injuries that the struggling teams have at any point in the campaign. This can have a big bearing on whether a side manages to stay afloat in the division and could be worth using any free bets on.

Ultimately, there might not be a lot of appeal when it comes to backing a team at odds-on for this long-term market on soccer betting apps. However, the Premier League relegation prices are updated on a regular basis and there is sometimes the chance to back selection at big odds if you think that they’re going to struggle in future weeks.

Indeed, looking ahead at the fixture list can help you get ahead of the curve. If a struggling team has a difficult run of games on the horizon, then it could be advantageous to grab a price before it changes. There are also similar betting options such as predicting all three teams that suffer the drop or backing a team to finish bottom of the table.

Premier League Odds - Upcoming Games
August 13th 7:30am Home Draw Away
Aston Villa Aston Villa AVL
4/5 1.80 -125 Bet365 5/2 3.50 +250 Bet365 15/4 4.75 +375 Bet365
Everton FC Everton FC EVE
August 13th 10:00am Home Draw Away
Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion BHA
29/20 2.45 +145 Bet365 11/5 3.20 +220 Bet365 2/1 3.00 +200 Bet365
Newcastle United Newcastle United NEW
August 13th 10:00am Home Draw Away
Arsenal FC Arsenal FC ARS
8/15 1.53 -188 Bet365 10/3 4.33 +333 Bet365 19/4 5.75 +475 Bet365
Leicester City Leicester City LEI
August 13th 10:00am Home Draw Away
Manchester City Manchester City MCI
1/20 1.06 -1786 Bet365 12/1 13.00 +1200 Bet365 28/1 29.00 +2800 Bet365
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth BRN
August 13th 10:00am Home Draw Away
Southampton FC Southampton FC SOU
5/4 2.25 +125 Bet365 5/2 3.50 +250 Bet365 21/10 3.10 +210 Bet365
Leeds United Leeds United LEE
August 13th 10:00am Home Draw Away
Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL
13/10 2.30 +130 Bet365 23/10 3.30 +230 Bet365 11/5 3.20 +220 Bet365
Fulham FC Fulham FC FUL
August 13th 12:30pm Home Draw Away
Brentford FC Brentford FC BRE
11/4 3.75 +275 Bet365 5/2 3.50 +250 Bet365 1/1 2.00 +100 Bet365
Manchester United Manchester United MUN
August 14th 9:00am Home Draw Away
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest NOF
16/5 4.20 +320 Bet365 13/5 3.60 +260 Bet365 5/6 1.85 -118 Bet365
West Ham United West Ham United WHU
August 14th 11:30am Home Draw Away
Chelsea FC Chelsea FC CFC
5/4 2.25 +125 Bet365 12/5 3.40 +240 Bet365 11/5 3.20 +220 Bet365
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur TOT
August 15th 3:00pm Home Draw Away
Liverpool FC Liverpool FC LFC
1/5 1.20 -500 Bet365 11/2 6.50 +550 Bet365 14/1 15.00 +1400 Bet365
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace CRY
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Charlie spent 11 years as a sports reporter at the Hull Daily Mail before joining the Press Association where he helped set up their bespoke betting channel using his sports data to provide content to accompany odds operators were offering in key matches. Charlie is the sports editor for covering everything from the Premier League to the NFL.

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