Premier League Top Four Odds 2022/23

By Matthew Glazier  | 

May 30th, 2023 06:30 AM  |  6 mins

 | 

 Fact Checked by Sean O'Neill

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Bookmakers have Manchester City as the odds-on favourites to win the 2023/24 Premier League title, and there's an even shorter price about Pep Guardiola's team landing a top-four spot next season. Based on their amazing points totals under Pep Guardiola over the past few years, it seems inconceivable that the Cityzens will finish fifth or lower.

However, there could be a spate of Premier League teams battling it out for the three remaining spots, with Manchester United hoping to retain their Champions League status after a successful first season with Erik ten Hag in charge.

Liverpool dropped out of the Champions League places last season, although bookmakers give them a strong chance of returning to the top four, and the Reds did end the 2022/23 campaign strongly. However, Arsenal are trading at a shorter price with most bookies, and they gave City the most to think about in the title race last term.

Tottenham are regarded as big outsiders to land a top-four spot, while Newcastle United will feel confident they can prove that last season was no fluke, and Mauricio Pochettino hasn't come to Chelsea to qualify for the Europa League.

Manchester City Massive Odds-On to Land Top-Four Spot

City are surely a certainty to finish in the top four of the Premier League next season and some would argue that applies to the top one. After all, this is a team who have won the title in six of the previous seven seasons, with Pep Guardiola's side set to post another huge points total.

City's summer spending might be modest, although why mend a bike that isn't broken? Guardiola will hope to get more from Kalvin Phillips, and there's also youngsters such as Cole Palmer and Rico Lewis who could get more game time. 

City's top-four status seems virtually certain now that they have Erling Haaland banging in the goals, and it's more a case of whether anyone can stop them continuing their dominance at the top of the table, with the north-west giant having previously shown the ability to compete on a domestic and continental front.

Manchester United Bidding to Stay in UCL Places

Manchester United started the 2022/23 season with consecutive defeats against Brighton and Brentford. However, they were able to recover quickly, and the Red Devils then occupied a place in the Premier League top four for the majority of the campaign, with Erik Ten Hag's side showing enough consistency to keep Liverpool at bay.

Betting sites made United big odds-against to qualify for the Champions League last season, although their price is much shorter this time around. Lisandro Martinez, Christian Eriksen and Casemiro have all improved the team and they have become a lot more tougher defensively than we saw under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.

With some big-money signings expected to arrive at Old Trafford this summer, it's anticipated that Manchester United will be in the battle for a top-four spot, with Harry Kane, Mason Mount and Declan Rice among the transfer targets who have been outlined by a club set to be under new ownership soon.

Liverpool Favourites For a Champions League Return

Liverpool have been Champions League regulars since Jurgen Klopp took charge at Anfield, but the Merseyside outfit will be playing in the Europa League next season. While the Reds were in outstanding form towards the end of the 2022/23 campaign, they ultimately left things too late in their bid to leapfrog Newcastle United and Manchester United.

Sports betting apps anticipate that Jurgen Klopp's side can return to the European top table within the next 12 months, with Liverpool odds-on to secure fourth place or higher next season. The team certainly clicked into gear as the campaign drew to a close, although too many dropped points on the road ultimately cost them dear.

Klopp will have a list of summer transfer targets despite ruling out a move for Jude Bellingham, while Curtis Jones and Harvey Elliott could represent the future in midfield. The same applies to Trent Alexander-Arnold who is likely to continue playing in an advanced role, with plenty of goals set to come from the likes of Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo. We might also expect great things from Luis Diaz now that the Colombian is back from injury.

Newcastle Bidding to Secure More Champions League Football 

Newcastle United supporters were expecting an improvement under Eddie Howe ahead of the 2022/23 season, although few of the Toon Army believed that the Magpies would finish ahead of Liverpool, Tottenham and Chelsea to secure Champions League football. This was achieved with a game to spare and the Tyneside outfit won't want to relinquish their top four status.

The bookmakers certainly respect Newcastle's top four chances a lot more this season, with the club expected to make a number of summer signings and the owners are certainly prepared to back Howe financially in the transfer market. 

Much will depend on how the Magpies are able to juggle their Champions League commitments with domestic affairs. Playing in Europe is a relatively new experience for this squad and perhaps they will find it difficult to sustain the sort of form that helped them qualify for this UEFA competition in the first place.

Can Arsenal Repeat Last Season's Title Charge?

Arsenal are back in the Champions League and they'll be determined to stay there. The Gunners were one of the surprise packages last season when finishing second in the Premier League table and they will be aiming to go one better when the 2023/24 campaign comes around.

Mikel Arteta will be fully aware that Arsenal might be in for a tougher challenge next season considering that improvement is expected from Chelsea and Liverpool, although there are funds to further strengthen a team who made a flying start to the previous campaign and they were actually trading as title favourites for part of the season.

With Arsenal in pole position to sign Declan Rice at the time of writing, perhaps the Gunners are capable of securing a consecutive top-four spot, although they will have to juggle their European involvement with domestic affairs. The spine of the team is already strong, with Aaron Ramsdale, Gabriel, Bukayo Saka, Granit Xhaka and Gabriel Jesus key players that will need to stay fit.

Pochettino Aiming to Steer Chelsea Back Into Top Four

Nobody could have forecasted that Chelsea would finish in the bottom half of the Premier League table last season, although it was a car crash of a season for the biggest spenders in the January transfer window. The money spent by the London outfit at the beginning of the year completely eclipsed all the other clubs in the division, although manager Graham Potter was then deposed and caretaker Frank Lampard presided over a string of defeats.

However, the recruitment of Mauricio Pochettino might prove to be an astute one. The Argentine will be looking to reshape a squad which is packed with talented players although not everyone will fit the system that he wants to play. After previously proving successful with Tottenham Hotspur, we can't rule out a top four assault during his first season in charge.

Chelsea's aim will be to qualify for the Champions League next season and the big advantage is the fact that they are not competing in Europe this term. With Pochettino having had a break from football management, he might now draw on his experiences with Spurs and Paris Saint-Germain in order to steer the team in an upwards direction.

Tottenham Premier League Top-Four Outsiders

Tottenham Hotspur were odds-on to qualify the Champions League last season, although things went awry for Antonio Conte from an early stage. After a number of outspoken comments, the Italian was relieved of his duties and Spurs didn't get close to securing a top-four spot, with Ryan Mason taking caretaker charge for the final few games.

With the future of Harry Kane unclear and plenty of supporter disgruntlement on show for the final few games, it would be a big surprise if Tottenham were able to finish fourth or higher next season. Perhaps the fact that they're not in the Champions League or Europa League next season means that there can be more focus on domestic matters.

However, chairman Daniel Levy has had difficulty securing the right manager to take charge at the club and it appears as though expectation levels will need to be lowered at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with some solid recruitment needed to get the team back to the big time.

Could Brighton Make a Bigger Splash in the EPL Next Season?

Brighton & Hove Albion secured a top six finish in the Premier League last term which earned them the right to play in the Europa League next season. The Seagulls were able to surpass the 60-point mark and they will now look to fare even better to challenge for a top four spot.

It's often been the case that Brighton have ended up selling some of their better players to the leading clubs in the Premier League. Perhaps this trend will continue although the Sussex club continue to unearth gems thanks to their extensive scouting network that has helped them source the likes of Kaoru Mitoma, Pervis Estupinan and Alexis Mac Allister.

Perhaps if Albion are able to keep some of their star players, they stand a chance of breaking into the top four although the competition will be fierce for Roberto De Zerbi's men, with the Italian cultivating a style of play which has seen the team prove more than a match for the leading teams recently.