The Premier League Top Goalscorer market is arguably the most interesting Premier League season-long betting market. After all, the odds are generally a lot more competitive than you will find when it comes to the Winner or Top Four market, with a clutch of players capable of either winning the overall prize or rewarding each-way backers if a forward finishes in the top four places.
At the beginning of every season, soccer betting apps will price up the Premier League Top Goalscorer market and you can see a long list of players with accompanying odds. It’s a simple case of choosing the player(s) that you think will achieve the biggest goal tally throughout the campaign.
You can either bet win only and focus on the player that finishes with the Premier League Golden Boot or alternatively place an each-way bet and that is particularly attractive when you fancy a forward at big odds. It’s generally the case that you can get ¼ odds for the first four places and so there is profit to be made for backing a big priced player that scores lots of goals. Each way terms will be different depending on your chosen soccer betting site.
Here are the Premier League top goalscorer odds:
|Erling Braut Haaland||45.45%||6/5 2.20 +120|
|M. Salah||16.67%||5/1 6.00 +500|
|Harry Edward Kane||12.50%||7/1 8.00 +700|
|Darwin Nunez||9.09%||10/1 11.00 +1000|
|G. Jesus||6.67%||14/1 15.00 +1400|
|Heung-Min Son||4.76%||20/1 21.00 +2000|
|A. Mitrovic||3.85%||25/1 26.00 +2500|
As soon as Erling Haaland was confirmed as Manchester City’s marquee signing in the summer of 2022, then the Norwegian was installed as market leader in the Premier League top scorer market. Haaland’s Premier League Golden Boot odds were set at 11/4 by soccer betting sites when he was added to the betting – a clear indication that he could easily top the charts.
Mohamed Salah has been a serial winner of this award and is usually among he pre-season favorites to repeat his successes of the 2017-18 and 2018-19 campaigns. Harry Kane also has previous success when it comes to the Premier League top goalscorer betting market and the Tottenham Hotspur is sure to be popular.
Beyond this, last season’s winner Heung-Min Son, Darwin Nunez and Gabriel Jesus were all just about in double digit odds before the season started, although it was noticeable that there was money for the latter pair due to bright pre-season showings. Cristiano Ronaldo, Raheem Sterling, Jamie Vardy and Kai Havertz were next in the betting before the 2022/23 Premier League season got under way.
Son and Salah were tied on 23 goals at the end of the 2021-22 season. While the South Korean was declared the winner (by scoring the most non-penalties), the soccer betting sites deemed it a dead heat, meaning bets on both players were settled as a winner, with the stake halved.
Harry Kane obliged at odds of 6/1 the season before, although Bruno Fernandes ran into third at 33/1 and Leeds United striker Patrick Bamford was able to land a joint-fourth position at 150/1. This serves to highlight that there can be excellent value betting on an outsider on an each-way basis.
The 2019-20 Premier League season saw a 20/1 winner in the form of Jamie Vardy, with the Leicester City striker able to score 23 goals, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Danny Ings were able to notch 22 goals. The latter was priced at 250/1 and it’s generally the case that a player of this price runs into the places.
Strangely in the past three seasons, the winner(s) have scored 23 goals. Therefore, all this talk of any player comfortably achieving 25 goals for the season is misguided. Salah and Son were five goals clear of Cristiano Ronaldo last term, while Salah and Kane were the only players to pass 20 goals the season before.
Vardy, Aubameyang, Ings and Raheem Sterling were all able to score 20 goals or more in the 2019-20 season, with Salah and Liverpool team-mate Sadio Mane dead-heating twelve months previously along with Aubameyang when the trio all managed to score 22 goals.
On a similar note, Bookmakers.com will also be providing the latest Premier League player props, while our Premier League picks will highlight out the players that we are recommending to perform well on a week-by-week basis.